In Eritrea, Whispers Of A Quiet Protest Challenge Years Of Suppression

From Welcome to Asmarino Independent. Fri Jan 25 2013, 03:11:51

"As for what shapes the forecast for Eritrea in particular, it winds up toward the middle of the global pack because it's a mixed bag," says Ulfelder.

"On the one hand, it's a poor country that's internationally isolated, both of which are associated with increased risk of coup attempts. On the other hand, it's a very repressive dictatorship, and regimes like that are historically no more coup-prone than fully democratic ones, other things being equal. The regime's success at quashing dissent is also reflected in the absence of any prior coup attempts, another thing that pulls Eritrea's forecast down."

The model is so far holding up, since what happened in Eritrea on Monday was not a coup; it did not depose the government and was possibly not intended to do so. ...

A worsening economic crisis may be what's pulling Eritrea closer to the brink. The UN sanctions are being felt more than ever, especially in a country where the GDP per capita is around $482, according to World Bank data.

[view whole blog post ]
 See More    |     Report Abuse


You might also be interested in the following news stories:

Africa:   Trump Keeps Africa Guessing (analysis)
Institute for Security Studies
27 February 2017

Like most parts of the world, Africa is still waiting, anxiously, for United States (US) President Donald Trump to articulate his policy for the continent. More than a month after his inauguration, he ... [read more]

Central African Republic:   What's Gone Wrong? (analysis)
IRIN
24 February 2017

There was hope last year that the election of President Faustin-Archange Touadéra would bring real change to the troubled Central African Republic. But 12 months on, he has been unable to ... [read more]

Africa:   Attacking Immigrants Not Patriotic or Revolutionary - Thabo Mbeki (news)
News24Wire
27 February 2017

Newly elected chancellor of the University of South Africa (Unisa), Thabo Mbeki, has expressed concern over violent attacks targeted at African migrants in the country. The former president, who was ... [read more]



blogAfrica is allAfrica.com's platform to help you keep an ear on the African blogosphere. We draw diverse voices from around the world who post regularly and insightfully about African issues. Bloggers, submit your blog's rss-feed!