An helpful chart from Jayne & Hichaambwa's presentation on The De-Linking of Agricultural Growth and Poverty Reduction . The pattern is clearly that fertilizer support program (FSP) has largely followed political victories, in effect acting as a reward or "retrospective bribe". However, one could also interpret this as politicians doing their bit to "respond" to their constituency. Which presumably is a good thing since we want them to listen to people.
Are they following the masses or are they driving the policy? Its probably a bit of both. Especially given that FSP is predicated on achieving sustainable maize prices to keep the urban masses on the leash. What matters of course in the end is whether FSP and FRA policies are coherent in the long term. The answer to that seems be be no - as ... [view whole blog post ]