1 to 10 of 318

October 23 2014

From The Official Blog of Amb. David H. Shinn Thu Oct 23 2014, 19:24:00

The South African Institute of International Affairs published in October 2014 a paper titled "China and Zimbabwe: The Context and Contents of a Complex Relationship" by Abiodun Alao, senior lecturer at the African Leadership Centre, King's College London.

The paper looks at  Sino-Zimbabwean relations, examining how they have evolved over time.  He concludes that the decades ahead are likely to be crucial for the relationship especially as Zimbabwe has to begin looking at a future without its aging president. 

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From The Official Blog of Amb. David H. Shinn Thu Oct 23 2014, 12:26:00

Pambazuka News published on 23 October 2014 a commentary titled "South Sudan Peace Talks: Possibility of Re-locating to South Sudan?" by Josephine Chandiru Drama, a fellow at the African Leadership Centre/Kings College London.  She concludes that the current IGAD process in Addis Ababa is inadequate and the peace talks should go to South Sudan. 

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From The Official Blog of Amb. David H. Shinn Thu Oct 23 2014, 10:18:00

The Institute for Security Studies (ISS) published on 20 October 2014 a summary titled "The Roots of Radicalism Should Inform Government's Response to Terror" by Anneli Botha, ISS in Pretoria.  This cogent analysis based on three separate studies in Kenya, Uganda, and Somalia concludes that what primarily pushed young Kenyans to join al-Shabaab  and the Mombasa Republican Council were injustices at the hands of Kenyan security forces.  Many young Somalis in Kenya joined al-Shabaab in response to a threat to their religious identity while those in Somalia were more influenced by economic issues. 

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From The Official Blog of Amb. David H. Shinn Thu Oct 23 2014, 09:41:00

The Institute for Security Studies (ISS) published in October 2014 a 12 page study titled "Why Strategic Foresight Matters for Africa" by Julia Schunemann, who leads the African Futures Project at ISS.  She concludes that African countries must think more systematically about long-term trends and plan for the future if they are to take advantage of opportunities arising from economic growth. 

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October 21 2014

From The Official Blog of Amb. David H. Shinn Tue Oct 21 2014, 09:46:00

The Journal of Asian and African Studies published online 5 September 2014 a study titled "China's Development and Its Aid Presence in Africa: A Critical Reflection from the Perspective of Development Anthropology" by Zhongguang Niu, Minzu University in Beijing.  This link takes you to the abstract; you can then access the entire PDF text. 

The author argues that China's aid presence in Africa is imprinted with China's own development practices and makes the case by drawing on the experience of Chinese development aid to Ethiopia.  The paper discusses the potential roles of Chinese anthropologists, who have been surprisingly absent from development issues.  

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October 20 2014

From The Official Blog of Amb. David H. Shinn Mon Oct 20 2014, 11:30:00

The International Monetary Fund published in October 2014 the Staff Report for the 2014 Article IV Consultation with Ethiopia.  This 76 page document concluded that Ethiopia's growth is expected to remain strong, driven mainly by agriculture and services.  Inflation should continue to remain in single digits, in line with a tight monetary policy.  Key downside risks include insufficient financing for infrastructure investment in the Growth and Transformation Plan, lower prices of main export commodities, and weather-related shocks, particularly a drought.

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October 18 2014

From The Official Blog of Amb. David H. Shinn Sat Oct 18 2014, 19:58:00

A recent and highly technical paper to be published in a forthcoming edition of The World Economy on China's trade patterns with African countries is available online.  Titled "The Gravity of China's African Export Promise," the authors are Lauren Johnston, Peking University, Stephen Morgan, University of Nottingham Ningbo China, and Yuesheng Wang, Peking University.  Using a gravity model of China's imports for the years 1995-2009, the authors explore potential dynamics for China's export promise.

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October 17 2014

From The Official Blog of Amb. David H. Shinn Fri Oct 17 2014, 15:02:00

The Inter Press Service published on 16 October 2014 an article titled "Ethiopia Shows Developing World How to Make a Green Economy Prosper" by James Jeffrey.  The article concludes that Ethiopia appears to have heeded past problems and chosen to follow a different and more sustainable path. 

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October 15 2014

From The Official Blog of Amb. David H. Shinn Wed Oct 15 2014, 16:24:00

The Overseas Development Institute (ODI), a UK-based think tank, published a paper in September 2014 titled "Developing Countries and the Slowdown in China" by Judith Tyson, Jane Kennan, and Zhenbo Hou. 

The report notes that the IMF and OECD forecast a slowdown in China's gross domestic product (GDP) to 7.0 percent for 2015.  ODI estimates a slowdown towards 5 percent in GDP growth from 2015 if decisive policy action is taken and below 4 percent if it is not. 

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From The Official Blog of Amb. David H. Shinn Wed Oct 15 2014, 11:08:00

World Politics Review published on 14 October 2014 a short interview with Celeste Hicks titled "Chad Uses Environmental Rules to Keep Tight Grip on Oil Sector."  It provides a status report on the dispute between the government of Chad and the Chinese National Petroleum Company over oil extraction licenses and investment in the oil sector.

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