1 to 10 of 289

September 29 2014

From The Official Blog of Amb. David H. Shinn Mon Sep 29 2014, 22:20:00

The Chicago Journal of International Law published in its Summer 2014 edition an article titled "Egypt, Ethiopia, and the Nile: The Economics of International Water Law" by Daniel Abebe, University of Chicago Law School. 

The article argues that an economics approach focusing on state preferences and incentives for compliance with international law in a world without a central enforcement mechanism will better illuminate the obstacles that Egypt and Ethiopia face and the likelihood of legal resolution of the conflict. 

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From The Official Blog of Amb. David H. Shinn Mon Sep 29 2014, 21:56:00

The Washington Quarterly, which is now published by George Washington University, Summer 2014 edition contained an article titled "Ethiopia's Grand Renaissance Dam: Ending Africa's Oldest Geopolitical Rivalry?" by Goitom Gebreluel, International Law and Policy Institute in Oslo.  The author argues that Ethiopian and Egyptian rivalry is centered on a dispute over Nile waters and constitutes the longest rivalry in the region. 

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From The Official Blog of Amb. David H. Shinn Mon Sep 29 2014, 21:39:00

Conflict Trends published in 2014 an article titled "Has the Rise of China in Africa Made Democratisation Less Likely?" by Akin Iwilade, Obafemi Awolowo University in Nigeria.  The article argues that Chinese impact on democratization in Africa is highly varied and context specific. 

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From The Official Blog of Amb. David H. Shinn Mon Sep 29 2014, 21:11:00

The CTC Sentinel published in September 2014 an article titled "The Life and Death of Al-Shabab Leader Ahmed Godane" by Christopher Anzalone, a PhD candidate at McGill University in Canada.  The author concludes that despite his seeming brilliance in outplaying his opponents, in the end Godane's tenure as undisputed amir of al-Shabaab was short.   

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From The Official Blog of Amb. David H. Shinn Mon Sep 29 2014, 08:27:00

International Forestry Review recently published an article titled "Rural Livelihoods and the Chinese Timber Trade in Zambia's Western Province" by P. Asanzi, L. Putzel, D. Gumbo and M. Mupeta.  It concluded that both Chinese and non-Chinese logging companies bring limited benefits to rural communities.  Non-Chinese logging companies provided more local employment opportunities but Chinese logging companies outbid their non-Chinese counterparts in the local timber market, providing greater opportunities to small-scale loggers.   

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September 28 2014

From The Official Blog of Amb. David H. Shinn Sun Sep 28 2014, 12:28:00

The Mogadishu-based Heritage Institute for Policy Studies published in September 2014 a briefing titled "Perceptions of Security and Justice in Mogadishu." 

It concludes that the residents of Mogadishu generally feel safer due to a decline in conflicts between clans and other groups.  But despite notable improvement in the general security environment, new sources of insecurity have arisen.  Suicide attacks, hand-grenade attacks, targeted killings, and land disputes are now among the leading causes of concern.  Residents question the capacity of formal security services and the integrity of the judiciary, often relying instead on traditional elders to resolve disputes.

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September 26 2014

From The Official Blog of Amb. David H. Shinn Fri Sep 26 2014, 12:04:00

The Enough Project published in September 2014 a report titled "Spoils of War, Spoilers of Peace: Changing the Calculus of South Sudan's Deadly Conflict" by Justine Fleischner.  The author concludes that South Sudan's warring elites remain committed to a military solution.  Any agreement that fails to address the economics of violence or end cycles of impunity risks a return to conflict. 

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September 25 2014

From The Official Blog of Amb. David H. Shinn Thu Sep 25 2014, 13:56:00

The International Crisis Group (ICG) published on 25 September 2014 a briefing titled "Kenya: Al-Shabaab--Closer to Home."  It reports that al-Shabaab has become more entrenched and active in Kenya following the attack on Westgate Mall a year ago.  The country's immediate post-Westgate  unity has broken down in the face of increasing attacks.  The political elites, security services, and ethnic and faith communities are beset by mutual suspicion and recriminations. 

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From The Official Blog of Amb. David H. Shinn Thu Sep 25 2014, 09:48:00

The Institute for Security Studies published on 23 September 2014 a brief analysis titled "Think Again: Portrait of a Kenyan Radical" by Simon Allison.  Drawing on an earlier study by Anneli Botha published on this blog, Allison concludes that the primary reason why Kenyans join al-Shabaab and the Mombasa Republican Council is perceived injustice at the hands of Kenyan security forces, especially "collective punishment."  According to Allison, this is the most relevant lesson for policy makers in Kenya who are trying to contain the threat of extremism. 

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From The Official Blog of Amb. David H. Shinn Thu Sep 25 2014, 09:27:00

The Washington-based Stimson Center published in September 2014 a study titled "Perceptions of Security among Internally Displaced Persons in Juba, South Sudan" by Aditi Gorur.  The Stimson Center  conducted seven focus groups among internally displaced persons (IDPs) at a UN shelter inhabited by members of the Nuer tribe in the capital city of Juba.  The study concluded that these IDPs believe it will be a long and difficult process to change security conditions in the country to the point where they feel they can return home safely. 

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