Countries at Greatest Risk of Coup

From A View From The Cave Tue Jan 22 2013, 11:41:00

What countries are most likely to see a coup this year? Political Scientist Jay Ulfelder (if you are not already regularly reading his blog, go there now and subscribe) unveiled an index that attempts to answer that question early last year. With the mixed reports about a possible coup attempt in Eritrea yesterday, Max Fisher penned a post today (worth reading in full) that uses Ulfelder's data on which countries are at the greatest coup risk.

What stands out is the visualization of the data on a map done by Fisher. Africa lights up the map with quite a few countries that make it into the top portion of the list. Ulfelder explained his index in Foreign Policy after successful coups in Guinea-Bissau and Mali last year.

In fact, most countries in the top 20 land there because they are poor and have competitive authoritarian or partially democratic political regimes. Unsurprisingly, coups also turn out to be a recurrent problem; the risk is higher in countries that have experienced other coup attempts in the past several years, a factor common to the top eight countries on this list. Active insurgencies also increase the risk of a coup, and this factor affected the 2012 forecast for countries like Ethiopia, Mali, and Sudan. Ditto for civil wars and popular uprisings in regional neighbors and slow economic growth, ...

[view whole blog post ]
 See More    |     Report Abuse

You might also be interested in the following news stories:

Ethiopia:   Inspiring Disadvantaged Women for Better Future (news)
The Ethiopian Herald
7 December 2016

The writer of this piece has strong belief that if women-led businesses had been supported in addressing their demands, the nation would have had a number of empowered women and entrepreneurs. Plus, ... [read more]

Ethiopia:   Tourism Industry Crunches, Key Resolutions (news)
The Ethiopian Herald
7 December 2016

Despite being a lucrative industry creating millions jobs and wealth to countries, tourism has not received the recognition and priority it deserves in many countries. It rarely made it to the ... [read more]

Ethiopia:   Pulses Major Export Contributor - Ministry (news)
The Ethiopian Herald
7 December 2016

Apart from local nutritional value, pulses are key to sustainable agriculture. The Ministry of Farming and Natural Resources said leguminous crops play important role for the socio- economic ... [read more]

blogAfrica is's platform to help you keep an ear on the African blogosphere. We draw diverse voices from around the world who post regularly and insightfully about African issues. Bloggers, submit your blog's rss-feed!