Don't treat worst-case scenarios as facts

From Columbia Journalism Review Tue Oct 7 2014, 16:08:00

By Damaris Colhoun On September 23, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention released a statistical forecast of how far the Ebola virus could spread in Liberia and Sierra Leone in the next four months. In the best-case scenario, as many as 8,000 people in the two nations could be infected by September 30, a 72.5-percent increase in just a week. In...

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